Just based on the kit alone there is close to a 0% chance he will ever get above a 50% winrate in solo q unless his numbers are mad hotfix tier. Additionally, his kit could end up just like the champions above where it is difficult to play for the average solo q player, but the pros will be able to utilize his super overloaded kit and make him broken in pro play.
Then, after he's done selling skins, he'll be nerfed repeatedly like Akali and friends until he's garbage in solo q and still overpowered in pro play and high elo for most of the year. Just the fact that they had to release a separate article attempting to explain how this guy works is already a bad sign. I don't see a bright future for Aphelios.